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| Мит Ромни |
Междувременно Рик Санторъм убедително спечели вътрешнопартийните избори за кандидат на републиканците за президент на САЩ в щата Канзас, но Мит Ромни контрира с победа в Уайоминг, в Гуам, Северните Мариански острови и американските Вирджински острови, стана ясно вчера.
След партийните събрания в Канзас и Уайоминг Ромни разполага с подкрепата на 453 делегати - членове на избирателната колегия, според равносметката на Асошиейтед прес - повече, отколкото имат общо неговите съперници - Санторъм с 217, Гингрич със 107 и Пол с 47.
Санторъм беше безспорен фаворит в Канзас, където твърдата му опозиция срещу абортите и хомосексуалните бракове се харесваше на многобройния евангелистки електорат в щата. Той разчита, че победата ще му даде предимство за първичните избори в южните щати Алабама и Мисисипи във вторник, които неочаквано добиха решаващ характер. Там проучванията на общественото мнение показват, че двамата с Гингрич си поделят наравно най-консервативните републикански избиратели. Санторъм се надява, че след негова победа Гингрич ще бъде принуден да се откаже от надпреварата и така той ще остане единствен съперник на Ромни от десницата.
Looking at Tuesday's upcoming primaries, the GOP race in Alabama is essentially a three-way tie, while Mitt Romney leads by eight in Mississippi. Nationally, Romney now leads Rick Santorum by 12 points. Regardless of who they want to win, 80% of Republican Primary Voters nationwide believe Romney will be the party's nominee.
With the perception growing that he will be the GOP nominee, Romney leads President Obama by five points in a hypothetical 2012 matchup. Today's numbers show Romney at 48%, Obama at 43%. Thata??s Romneya??s largest lead since December. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).
If Santorum is the Republican nominee, he is up by one point over the president, 46% to 45%. This is the second time since polling began in 2011 that Santorum has had a slight lead over Obama. Romney is the only other candidate to lead the president more than one time in the polls. See tracking history for Obama vs. all four Republican candidates.
Scott Rasmussen's new syndicated column takes a look at the Real 'Entitlement Mentality' That is Bankrupting America. It has nothing to do with greedy taxpayers looking for a handout and everything to do with a small group of people who believe they are entitled to rule over the rest of us
Overall, 44% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-four percent (54%) at least somewhat disapprove.
Check out our review of last weeka??s key polls to see a??What They Told Us.a??
Just 32% have a favorable opinion of House Speaker John Boehner. Twenty-nine percent (29%) say the same of former Speaker Nancy Pelosi. On the Senate side, 27% offer a positive opinion of Mitch McConnell, and 24% view Harry Reid favorably.
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Thirty percent (30%) now believe the United States is generally heading in the right direction. Thata??s down two points from a week ago and down four points from three weeks ago. But ita??s still a more optimistic assessment than was found for most of 2011.
The Rasmussen Employment Index shows worker confidence in the labor market has risen to its highest level since September 2008. Twenty-three percent (23%) of workers report that their employers are hiring, while 20% are still seeing layoffs.
Forty-two percent (42%) believe it is at least somewhat likely that the United States will default on its debt. Forty-eight percent (48%) disagree and say ita??s not likely. Americans strongly believe that U.S. policy is to blame for the nationa??s economic woes rather than events in Europe.
Just 27% believe that government efforts to manage the economy actually help the economy. Fifty percent (50%) believe the government efforts do more harm than good. Upper income Americans are evenly divided on the question. Middle income Americans strongly believe that government attempts to run the economy end up hurting the economy.
If youa??d like Scott Rasmussen to speak to your organization, meeting, or conference, please contact Premiere Speakers. The Wall Street Journal has called him a??America a??s leading insurgent pollstera?? and The Washington Post says Scott is a a??driving force in American politics.a??
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It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. Obama's numbers are almost always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That's because some of the president's most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote. It is also important to check the details of question wording when comparing approval ratings from different firms.
Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology (see methodology). Pollsters for Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton have cited our "unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy."
Learn more about the Rasmussen Reports track record over the years.
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.
Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large (see methodology). Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are 35.8% Republicans, 32.5% Democrats, and 31.7% unaffiliated. Likely voter samples typically show a slightly larger advantage for the Republicans.
A review of last week's key polls is posted each Saturday morning.
To get a sense of longer-term trends, check out our month-by-month review of the president's numbers.
